- ESPN's FPI rankings: Iowa No. 33, Penn State No. 6
- Iowa has a 13.1% chance of winning against Penn State
- Predicted record for Iowa: 10-2
ESPN’s matchup predictor and Football Power Index (FPI) have analyzed the upcoming game between the Iowa Hawkeyes and Penn State Nittany Lions. According to FPI, the Hawkeyes have a 96.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 37.1% chance of winning the Big Ten West. However, they have only a 5.1% chance of winning the Big Ten and a slim 0.7% chance of making the College Football Playoff. On the other hand, Penn State is projected to have a successful season with a 100% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 26.6% chance of winning the Big Ten East. ESPN’s matchup predictor heavily favors Penn State, giving them an 86.9% chance of winning the game.