Examining the impact of NBA rookies on winning beyond traditional statistics, focusing on metrics like Box Plus/Minus (BPM) and Win Shares to identify the most impactful first-year players.

By the Numbers
  • Only seven rookies have a positive BPM this season.
  • Top rookies in terms of BPM include Leonard Miller (11.3) and Victor Wembanyama (5.2).
  • Eight players produced more than three Win Shares, with Chet Holmgren leading at 8.2.
  • Other impactful rookies based on Win Shares include Derek Lively (4.8) and Trayce Jackson-Davis (4.5).
Yes, But

While metrics like BPM and Win Shares are useful, they provide only a partial view of a rookie's impact on winning, with other factors also playing a role.

State of Play
  • Rookies like Victor Wembanyama, Chet Holmgren, Amen Thompson, and Trayce Jackson-Davis stand out as impactful based on both BPM and Win Shares.
  • These rookies are likely contenders for an NBA All-Rookie Team, supported by their statistical performance and impact on team success.
What's Next

Several of the top rookies identified in BPM and Win Shares will have opportunities for significant postseason minutes in the near future.

Bottom Line

Metrics like BPM and Win Shares showcase the impact of select NBA rookies on winning, with players like Wembanyama, Holmgren, Thompson, and Jackson-Davis emerging as key contributors to their teams' success, possibly securing spots on the NBA All-Rookie Team.