Amid the NCAA Tournament picture, St. Lawrence's win over Quinnipiac in the ECAC semifinals alleviated concerns over a potential NCHC dominance in seeding. If Cornell triumphs in the ECAC championship game, it could secure a 3 seed with a 30% probability. The battle for the 13th at-large spot is between Colorado College and Massachusetts, with differing likelihoods of clinching it according to predictions.

The Big Picture

The NCAA Tournament seeding dynamics are significantly impacted by the outcomes of conference championship games and head-to-head comparisons in the Pairwise rankings.

By the Numbers
  • Cornell has a 79% chance of winning the ECAC championship game.
  • UMass has a 58% probability of securing the 13th at-large spot, compared to 42% for Colorado College.
State of Play
  • Five NCHC teams are set to make the NCAA Tournament, influencing seeding and regional assignments.
  • The committee faces challenges avoiding intra-conference matchups and balancing fan interests while finalizing the tournament bracket.
Bottom Line

The NCAA Tournament seeding hinges on pivotal conference games and comparisons, with significant implications for teams like Cornell, UMass, and Colorado College facing intense competition for spots and favorable placements in the bracket.