Finding a Franchise Quarterback: Analyzing Recent Performance and Criteria in NFL Drafts
Bill Parcells' traditional test for franchise quarterbacks is deemed outdated, leading to the creation of a more modern checklist based on recent history. The new criteria focus on objective thresholds, including passing yards, rushing performance, and interception rates. While some successful quarterbacks meet these standards, others like Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow fall short on specific measures, questioning the model's completeness.
By the Numbers- Trevor Lawrence was the only 2021 first-round pick who met all criteria.
- Out of the quarterbacks drafted from 2011-2020, only 13 of 39 passed the aggressive passing test.
The model's focus on specific metrics may overlook successful quarterbacks that deviate from the set criteria.
State of Play- High concern prospects missing all three markers: Trey Lance, Justin Fields, and Mac Jones.
- Top prospects passing two measures but failing one: Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, Bo Nix, J.J. McCarthy, and Michael Penix.
Further analysis will evaluate the 2024 quarterback class against these metrics to draw insights for future drafts.
Bottom LineThe evolving criteria for evaluating quarterback prospects reflect a blend of statistical analysis and player traits, shedding light on the complexity of identifying future franchise quarterbacks.
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The summary of the linked article was generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence technology from OpenAI