The recent assassination of Mexican drug lord Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes has triggered violent unrest in Guadalajara, raising questions about safety for the upcoming 2026 World Cup events scheduled in Jalisco. FIFA has expressed concerns regarding the playoff matches due to escalating violence but maintained confidence in the situation being managed. While the Mexican government has begun restoring order, the potential for relocation of games remains on the table if safety cannot be guaranteed. The unfolding chaos poses a significant risk to participants, fans, and local residents ahead of the tournament.

By the Numbers
  • 2,000 military personnel deployed to Guadalajara for security.
  • 405% increase in hotel prices in Guadalajara compared to three weeks before the World Cup.
Yes, But

Despite the immediate violence following El Mencho's death, some experts believe cartels might temper their actions around the World Cup to avoid drawing attention from authorities and jeopardizing potential profits from increased tourism.

State of Play
  • Jalisco is under a red alert due to ongoing unrest and security measures are heightened.
  • FIFA is monitoring the situation closely while maintaining communication with local authorities.
What's Next

If the upcoming playoffs are conducted smoothly, it might bolster confidence for the World Cup games scheduled later this year. However, the evolving dynamics within the cartel landscape pose uncertainties that could influence security outcomes.

Bottom Line

As the world approaches the World Cup, heightened vigilance and adaptive security strategies will be crucial. The need for collaboration between FIFA and Mexican authorities is critical to ensure public safety and restore normalcy, fostering an environment conducive to a successful tournament.