Five NFL playoff contenders face challenging paths in the wake of the 2026 schedule release, with multiple factors influencing their season prospects. Teams like the Packers, Chargers, Bears, Cowboys, and Patriots are in for a tough road despite their talent. Difficult opponents, unfavorable rest situations, and historical trends cast doubt on their playoff aspirations. Notably, teams that excelled last season, like the Bears, often struggle in the following year. The NFL schedule highlights the unique challenges these contenders must navigate to secure postseason spots.

By the Numbers
  • The Chargers will face a rest disadvantage in seven games this season.
  • The Patriots have the hardest four-game start in 40 years with a .721 combined opponent win percentage.
State of Play
  • The Packers' schedule includes five games where they'll have less rest than their opponents.
  • The Bears face the projected sixth-hardest schedule following their resurgence last season.
What's Next

As the season approaches, teams will need to adapt rapidly to their tough schedules and manage player health effectively. How well they handle early-season challenges will likely dictate their playoff viability.

Bottom Line

The success of these contenders hinges on navigating rough patches in their schedules; mitigating injuries and adapting quickly will be crucial to their playoff hopes.