As college football approaches, several coaches face high-stakes seasons. Insider Bruce Feldman identifies North Carolina's Bill Belichick and USC's Lincoln Riley as at risk for job insecurity by 2026. Belichick's first season ended with a disappointing 4-8 record, and another similar performance could jeopardize his tenure at UNC. In contrast, Riley, who holds a 35-18 record at USC, needs to demonstrate progress this year after failing to reach the College Football Playoff despite high expectations.

By the Numbers
  • Bill Belichick finished his debut season at UNC with a 4-8 record.
  • Lincoln Riley has a 35-18 record since taking over at USC in 2022.
  • USC signed the No. 1 ranked recruiting class, heightening expectations.
Yes, But

While both coaches face scrutiny, Belichick's extensive off-field issues may lead him to reconsider his commitment if results don't improve. In contrast, Riley's path may allow for more recovery time if he can secure at least nine wins, even without a playoff appearance.

State of Play
  • Belichick is grappling with rebuilding UNC's program and improving from a poor first season.
  • Riley is under pressure to elevate USC into the playoff conversation while handling fan expectations.
What's Next

Both coaches will need strong seasons to quell doubts about their jobs. Belichick must show progress from his first year to remain in North Carolina, while Riley's performance will be closely watched as the stakes rise amid USC's recruitment success.

Bottom Line

The upcoming college football season is crucial for both Bill Belichick and Lincoln Riley. Their ability to meet rising expectations could dictate their future at their respective schools and potentially reshape the coaching landscape in 2026.