Arch Manning’s highly anticipated season has fallen short of expectations, with inconsistent decisions and play prompting doubts about his NFL prospects. Manning says he hasn’t put good film on tape recently and is committed to improving, but he’ll need a stronger finish to restore confidence.

By the Numbers
  • 2026 is Manning’s fourth year at Texas and second as the starter.
  • He acknowledged that his film hasn’t been good over the past five weeks.
  • Before the season, Manning was linked to the Heisman Trophy and the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.
Yes, But

Scouts see a talented quarterback, and NFL draft analyst Dane Brugler says it’s too early to rule out a turnaround. But Manning’s decision-making has not progressed as expected, and Brugler says he has not played like a top-five pick.

What's Next

Texas has a demanding stretch ahead, giving Manning limited time to show progress. A stronger finish could change his draft outlook; continued struggles may deepen questions about whether he belongs among the top 10 picks.

Bottom Line

Manning’s draft reputation now depends on what he does next: his talent is evident, but he needs to turn it into better decisions and consistent performance.