Main Story

J.J. McCarthy’s first start for the Giants was a win—and a meaningful improvement under pressure—but his limited passing volume leaves questions about how much he raises the fantasy value of his teammates. Malik Nabers’ heavy target share and Isaiah Likely’s role keep both in the Week 9 top-12 conversation. Elsewhere, Tony Pollard’s strong efficiency makes him a potential trade target before the Titans consider selling, while Josh Jacobs’ return strengthens Green Bay’s backfield without solving its run-blocking problems.

By the Numbers
  • McCarthy completed 83.3% of his throws under pressure; his completion percentage over expectation was +8.0% in the game, compared with -5.7% for the season.
  • Houston blitzed on 36.7% of its plays, while pressure disrupted McCarthy on 50.0% of his dropbacks.
  • Nabers has earned a target share above 30% in three straight games.
  • Pollard ranks 11th among 19 qualifying backs in rushing success rate (39.3%) and adjusted yards after contact per attempt (3.42).
  • Jacobs out-touched MarShawn Lloyd nearly 3-to-1, but Green Bay’s rushing success rate against Detroit was 36.4%, with a 54.5% stuff rate.
Yes, But

McCarthy’s strong performance came on just 29 regulation dropbacks, so there may not be enough passing volume to sustain big fantasy numbers. Pollard’s efficiency is impressive, but Tennessee’s poor offense and offensive line limit his production; a trade could improve his outlook, but remains uncertain. Jacobs has a clear workload edge, though Green Bay’s blocking issues threaten his rushing efficiency.

What’s Next

After the Giants’ bye, McCarthy’s continued connection with Nabers and Likely will be the key fantasy signal to watch. Pollard gets a favorable matchup against Cincinnati next week, giving him one more chance to strengthen his case as a trade target. Green Bay needs to improve its blocking to turn Jacobs’ sizable workload into more efficient rushing production.

Bottom Line

McCarthy’s debut offers encouraging signs, but don’t confuse a winning start with proof of a high-volume fantasy passing game. Nabers is the clearest beneficiary, while Pollard is a buy-low candidate whose value could rise if he changes teams; Jacobs remains valuable mainly because of opportunity, not efficiency.