ESPN analyst Greg McElroy picked Missouri to edge Texas, 20-17, at home. He expects the Tigers to capitalize on Texas’ turnover problems and protect the ball, a formula Missouri has relied on all season.

By the Numbers
  • McElroy’s predicted score: Missouri 20, Texas 17.
  • Kickoff: noon ET on ABC.
  • Missouri last hosted Texas in 2011, winning 17-5.
Yes, But

Both teams could still contend for a 12-team College Football Playoff spot after a loss, but neither wants to risk its chances. McElroy’s pick hinges on Missouri taking care of the ball and making Texas pay for turnovers.

What’s Next

The teams meet Saturday in Columbia, where McElroy says the key questions include whether Texas can reach 24 points and which team makes a costly mistake with the ball.

Bottom Line

McElroy sees Missouri’s ball security—and Texas’ turnover issues—as the difference in a close home win.