NASCAR’s three national champions will be crowned at Homestead-Miami Speedway this weekend. Kyle Larson is overwhelmingly favored to win the Cup title, while the O’Reilly Auto Parts and Craftsman Truck championships remain more open, with five and two drivers still in contention, respectively.

By the Numbers
  • Larson leads the Cup standings by 67 points; his listed championship odds are 99.4%.
  • Justin Allgaier leads the O’Reilly Auto Parts Series by 22 points, with five drivers in contention.
  • Kaden Honeycutt leads Layne Riggs by 20 points in the Truck Series.
  • Championship races start Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday at 5 p.m. ET and Sunday at 3 p.m. ET.
Yes, But

Larson’s lead is imposing, but Christopher Bell and Denny Hamlin remain mathematically alive. Allgaier leads the O’Reilly field but currently loses the Chase tiebreaker to each of his four challengers, while Honeycutt and Riggs both control their Truck Series title chances.

State of Play
  • Cup: Larson needs only 9 points to clinch, regardless of the others’ results. Bell and Hamlin must win and meet demanding stage-point requirements.
  • O’Reilly Auto Parts: Allgaier controls his destiny; Jesse Love and Corey Day also can clinch with a perfect 76-point day.
  • Trucks: Honeycutt needs 55 points to secure the title regardless of Riggs. Riggs needs 75.
What’s Next

The Truck Series opens the championship weekend Friday, followed by the O’Reilly Auto Parts Series on Saturday and the Cup Series finale Sunday. Stage points, race finishes and Chase tiebreakers could decide the tighter title battles.

Bottom Line

Larson is positioned to close out the Cup championship, but the other two titles are far less settled: Allgaier must overcome a tiebreaker disadvantage, while Honeycutt and Riggs face a direct showdown.