Main Story: ESPN analyst Greg McElroy picked Tennessee to beat Kentucky 28-20 at Neyland Stadium, predicting the Volunteers will cover the 6.5-point spread. He expects a relatively low-scoring game, with the total staying under 50.5.

By the Numbers
  • McElroy’s projected score: Tennessee 28, Kentucky 20.
  • Point spread: Tennessee -6.5.
  • Over/under: 50.5 points.
  • Tennessee has won 5 straight games against Kentucky.
  • The teams have met 120 times.
Yes, But

McElroy acknowledged Kentucky’s ability to win close games and said he wouldn’t be surprised if the Wildcats pull off the upset.

State of Play
  • Both teams entered the initial College Football Playoff rankings in the top 15.
  • Each is still pursuing a spot in the SEC Championship Game.
  • McElroy highlighted Tennessee’s workload on the ground and Kentucky’s run game as key factors.
Bottom Line

McElroy favors Tennessee at home, but sees Kentucky’s close-game experience as a reason not to count out an upset.